Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a07…10cf
other · 259 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$29 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses119 / 133
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)252 / 259
History coverage100d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit4%
Chart Positions 7 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$8
14 days+$2
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-31? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-05? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-19? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-07? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Peru win on 2026-03-31? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$7 +172%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +31%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $4 +$4 +93%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $4 +$8 +206%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $4 +$3 +62%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 01 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 01 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 01 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $4 +$5 +114%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $4 +$4 +97%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $4 +$3 +79%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $4 +$2 +46%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31? May 28 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? May 28 $4 −$4 -98%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $4 +$2 +40%
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $4 −$4 -98%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $4 −$4 -99%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $4 +$3 +83%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $4 +$5 +124%
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $4 +$8 +206%
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $4 +$5 +124%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 21 $4 −$4 -98%
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $4 +$4 +93%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $10 +$4 +44%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $2 −$2 -98%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 19 $11 +$5 +41%
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? May 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $4 +$6 +140%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $4 +$4 +109%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-17? May 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17? May 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? May 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 15 $22 −$4 -17%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-13? May 14 $4 +$8 +188%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $4 +$3 +65%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $4 +$3 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 94% +$18
politics 4% +$1
world 1% +$4
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 52¢ $4 1h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $4 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $4 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $4 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $4 4d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 4d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $4 4d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $4 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $4 4d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 4d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $4 4d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 4d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 47¢ $4 12d
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 51¢ $4 12d
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 48¢ $4 12d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 63¢ $4 12d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02? BUY Yes 32¢ $4 12d
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 12d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? BUY Yes 61¢ $4 12d
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 16d
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 16d
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 16d
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 16d
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 55¢ $4 16d
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 68¢ $4 16d
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -22.0% -29.5% 44% 44% -28.9%
≤30d 47 -7.6% -16.4% 47% 47% -11.4%
≤90d 246 -2.1% -11.4% 47% 46% -7.9%
all 252 -1.8% -11.1% 47% 46% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 46% -6.9%
10% -19.6% 46% -15.8%
15% -27.4% 42% -24.0%
20% -34.5% 39% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.69 · official $24.69 (match) · 442 history records