trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 33% | 33% | -29.6% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 35% | 35% | -27.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -21.6% | -29.1% | 36% | 36% | -27.6% |
| all | 33 | -34.8% | -41.0% | 30% | 30% | -33.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.0% | 30% | -33.0% |
| 10% | -46.7% | 30% | -39.4% |
| 15% | -51.8% | 30% | -45.2% |
| 20% | -56.5% | 24% | -50.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $29 | $38 | +$9 (+29%) |
| Spread: Spain (-5.5) | Spain | 46¢ | 20¢ | $25 | $11 | −$14 (-57%) |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $25 | +$25 | +97% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $25 | +$31 | +124% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$10 | -66% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$6 | +113% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $7 | +$13 | +185% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $8 | +$17 | +206% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $15 | +$6 | +40% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$20 | +194% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? | May 04 | $7 | −$6 | -96% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | May 04 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025? | Jul 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | Jul 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Jul 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday? | Jul 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | Jul 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | Jul 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | Jul 05 | $5 | +$5 | +92% |
| Will England win the match? | Jul 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |