trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -98.6% | -98.7% | 0% | 0% | -96.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -98.6% | -98.7% | 0% | 0% | -96.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -89.5% | -90.5% | 8% | 8% | -96.2% |
| all | 19 | -84.9% | -86.4% | 11% | 11% | -95.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -86.4% | 11% | -95.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -87.7% | 11% | -95.9% |
| 15% | -88.8% | 5% | -96.3% |
| 20% | -89.9% | 5% | -96.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $100,000 | −$95,761 | -96% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $253 | −$250 | -99% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $267 | −$260 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | Mar 25 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Mental Institution" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Mar 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 27? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Mar 25 | $6 | +$2 | +32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | Feb 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Feb 13 | $21 | −$1 | -5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Feb 13 | $840 | −$840 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Feb 13 | $111 | −$111 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Feb 13 | $241 | −$241 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Feb 13 | $600 | +$302 | +50% |