Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:02:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a0c…74f9
crypto · 743 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,349 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,264 · open −$74
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$280
Realized−$2,264
Unrealized−$74
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses415 / 414
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions17
Markets (closed)829 / 743
History coverage7d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day381.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 17 History 829 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,265
7 days−$2,233
14 days−$2,264
30 days−$2,264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? No 99¢ 91¢ $53 $49 −$4 (-8%)
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 50¢ 44¢ $40 $34 −$5 (-13%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $32 $33 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13? No 97¢ 100¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+2%)
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 28¢ 14¢ $38 $20 −$18 (-48%)
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11? No 42¢ 24¢ $33 $19 −$14 (-43%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? No 97¢ 80¢ $16 $13 −$3 (-18%)
Will there be 50+ VAR stoppages during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 36¢ 22¢ $21 $13 −$9 (-40%)
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? No 56¢ 57¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 76¢ 57¢ $15 $12 −$4 (-24%)
Will John Stones be in England's Starting 11? No 49¢ 18¢ $29 $11 −$18 (-62%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? No 99¢ 92¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 10? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 4? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 2? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 10? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 4? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2? Jun 13 $2 −$3 -108%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 2? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 9? Jun 13 $7 −$8 -123%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 2? Jun 13 $5 −$11 -212%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 2? Jun 13 $2 −$3 -150%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 8? Jun 13 $8 −$10 -127%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 6? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on June 6? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on June 2? Jun 13 $16 −$34 -210%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 2? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 8? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$5 -368%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on June 4? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 2? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4? Jun 13 $0 $0 +133%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 11? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 4? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on June 4? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4? Jun 13 $4 −$11 -308%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on June 11? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 2? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on June 2? Jun 13 $31 −$36 -116%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 3? Jun 13 $1 −$5 -985%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on June 6? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 8? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 8? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -104%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 10? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -106%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on June 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 11? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 8? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2? Jun 13 $6 +$12 +217%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 10? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 2? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 104°F or higher on June 3? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$282
other 31% −$573
weather 8% −$363
world 2% −$13
finance 1% −$28
tech 1% −$21
sports 0% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 3m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 8m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 8m
Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 6¢ $6 49m
Will there be 50+ VAR stoppages during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 36¢ $21 57m
Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 1h
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 56¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Facundo Medina be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 8¢ $1 2h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? SELL Yes 31¢ $6 2h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY No 68¢ $8 2h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY No 68¢ $3 2h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY No 68¢ $8 2h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY No 68¢ $8 2h
Will Facundo Medina be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY No 9¢ $1 2h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $20 2h
Will Facundo Medina be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 9¢ $1 2h
Will Facundo Medina be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY No 9¢ $1 2h
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 64¢ $6 2h
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? SELL No 51¢ $0 2h
Will Joshua Kimmich score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 32¢ $3 2h
Will Joshua Kimmich score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 745 -18.1% -25.9% 49% 1% -20.8%
≤30d 829 -16.7% -24.6% 50% 2% -19.9%
≤90d 829 -16.7% -24.6% 50% 2% -19.9%
all 829 -16.7% -24.6% 50% 2% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover381.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.6% 2% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 1% -27.6%
15% -38.4% 1% -34.6%
20% -44.4% 1% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $279.78 · official $279.78 (match) · 3500 history records