Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:09:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0A 0x0a11…7f03 crypto 169 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$43 (+10%) realized +$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate89%151W / 18L
Drawdown44%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day58.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 +4.4% -5.5% 89% 20% -2.6%
≤30d 169 +4.4% -5.5% 89% 20% -2.6%
≤90d 169 +4.4% -5.5% 89% 20% -2.6%
all 169 +4.4% -5.5% 89% 20% -2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 20% -2.6%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 11% -11.9%
15% -22.8% 8% -20.4%
20% -30.4% 5% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 45% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.64 per $1 lost it wins $1.64
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses151 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)169 / 169
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day58.5
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 169 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$8 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 418 history records