Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:16:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a12…13a6
crypto · 1409 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$223 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$223 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses751 / 657
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1408 / 1409
History coverage19d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day122.9
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1408 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$154
14 days+$140
30 days+$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$9 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$223
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 611 +2.4% -7.3% 52% 51% -6.1%
≤30d 1408 +1.5% -8.2% 53% 51% -7.5%
≤90d 1408 +1.5% -8.2% 53% 51% -7.5%
all 1408 +1.5% -8.2% 53% 51% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 51% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 48% -16.4%
15% -25.0% 47% -24.5%
20% -32.4% 44% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records