Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:23:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a1c…e62c
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses68 / 104
Open positions2
Markets (closed)172 / 174
History coverage17d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days−$2
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 59¢ 74¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 31 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 31 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 31 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 31 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 31 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 31 $9 −$4 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-29.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -19.4% -27.1% 47% 39% -5.7%
≤30d 172 -22.1% -29.5% 40% 36% -18.2%
≤90d 172 -22.1% -29.5% 40% 36% -18.2%
all 172 -22.1% -29.5% 40% 36% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.5% 36% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -36.3% 31% -26.0%
15% -42.4% 30% -33.1%
20% -48.1% 24% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.69 · official $8.22 (match) · 368 history records