Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T15:27:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
0A 0x0a37…9b76 crypto 36 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$24 (+5%) realized +$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate75%27W / 9L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day51.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +8.4% -1.9% 75% 47% -6.1%
≤30d 36 +8.4% -1.9% 75% 47% -6.1%
≤90d 36 +8.4% -1.9% 75% 47% -6.1%
all 36 +8.4% -1.9% 75% 47% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 47% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 31% -15.1%
15% -19.9% 19% -23.3%
20% -27.7% 8% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.36 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses27 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day51.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 36 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $31 −$18 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $31 −$8 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $9 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $8 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records