Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a4b…f395
crypto · 1566 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$252 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$207 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$207
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses695 / 867
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1562 / 1566
History coverage30d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day46.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1562 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days−$677
14 days−$70
30 days−$183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 34¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-27%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 42¢ $6 $4 −$1 (-23%)
Netherlands leading at halftime? Yes 35¢ 21¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $97 +$36 +37%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $54 +$12 +23%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Jun 14 $11 −$6 -58%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $31 +$19 +60%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $13 −$13 -99%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $11 +$11 +109%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $20 +$24 +117%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $18 −$17 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $19 +$11 +60%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$12 -99%
United States to win the second half? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 +$12 +118%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$11 +112%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $73 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11? Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$8 +78%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $30 +$19 +63%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $43 −$13 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $38 +$5 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $42 +$5 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $80 +$12 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $69 +$11 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $62 +$7 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $27 +$4 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 11 $36 +$21 +58%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $30 +$7 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$315
weather 3% +$21
sports 1% +$86
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $6 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $10 1h
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 99¢ $73 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 99¢ $59 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 90¢ $58 2h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 90¢ $8 2h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) SELL Germany 99¢ $66 2h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 80¢ $54 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners SELL Under 24¢ $1 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners SELL Under 24¢ $3 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $49 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 56¢ $13 9h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $31 10h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 15¢ $6 10h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Under 55¢ $11 10h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 50¢ $30 10h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $18 21h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $11 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 22h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 70¢ $7 29h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 33¢ $3 29h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $20 31h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $13 38h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 62¢ $19 38h
United States to win the second half? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 42h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 42¢ $9 42h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $22 42h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 45¢ $10 46h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $10 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -67.0% -70.1% 18% 18% -42.7%
≤30d 1447 -2.3% -11.6% 43% 38% -10.1%
≤90d 1562 -2.2% -11.5% 44% 35% -10.1%
all 1562 -2.2% -11.5% 44% 35% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 35% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 27% -18.7%
15% -27.7% 19% -26.6%
20% -34.8% 13% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.62 · official $14.62 (match) · 3500 history records