Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:29:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a50…2197
sports · 151 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$120 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$207 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$207
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses48 / 97
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions6
Markets (closed)145 / 151
History coverage31d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$56
14 days−$160
30 days−$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 61¢ 60¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 58¢ 42¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-27%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 48¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-28%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Top Esports 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 11¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $41 −$13 -31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $45 +$10 +22%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $40 +$22 +55%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $66 −$4 -5%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 +$22 +143%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $38 −$38 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $21 +$201 +980%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $3 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5 +$11 +223%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $10 +$11 +110%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $30 −$30 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 02 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $10 −$1 -14%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $102 +$45 +44%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 31 $39 −$39 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $71 −$71 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $46 −$46 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs May 29 $5 +$10 +194%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 29 $20 +$89 +437%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $20 +$10 +50%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $20 +$8 +39%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $15 −$10 -68%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$162
other 3% −$72
politics 0% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 82¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 58¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 7¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 63¢ $25 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 45¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 45¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 20¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 66¢ $52 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 32¢ $10 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 25¢ $20 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 11¢ $24 31h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $10 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 11¢ $2 45h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $36 45h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 25¢ $0 46h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 66¢ $24 47h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 42¢ $18 47h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $20 47h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 10¢ $27 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $9 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $30 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $31 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 35¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 21¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 100¢ $18 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 39¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $40 3d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -14.9% -23.0% 23% 23% -19.0%
≤30d 145 -16.4% -24.4% 33% 31% -17.9%
≤90d 145 -16.4% -24.4% 33% 31% -17.9%
all 145 -16.4% -24.4% 33% 31% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.4% 31% -17.9%
10% -31.6% 29% -25.7%
15% -38.2% 26% -32.9%
20% -44.3% 21% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.45 · official $34.45 (match) · 444 history records