Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:51:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a5e…e777
crypto · 15 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses14 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)14 / 15
History coverage19d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 1 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $6 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $8 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? Jun 02 $9 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? May 30 $7 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28? May 28 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? May 28 $7 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% $0
other 42% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 14 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 14 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 14 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.09 · official $5.09 (match) · 29 history records