trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -70.3% | -73.1% | 0% | 0% | -77.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 40% | 40% | +36.2% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +106.6% | +86.9% | 50% | 50% | +85.0% |
| all | 16 | +106.6% | +86.9% | 50% | 50% | +85.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +86.9% | 50% | +85.0% |
| 10% | +69.1% | 50% | +67.3% |
| 15% | +52.7% | 50% | +51.2% |
| 20% | +37.7% | 38% | +36.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $50 | −$5 | -11% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $301 | +$231 | +77% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | Jun 01 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $256 | +$514 | +201% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 28 | $70 | +$27 | +39% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $1,258 | +$561 | +45% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | May 09 | $75 | +$1,185 | +1588% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $136 | +$189 | +139% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 16 | $149 | +$268 | +180% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 16 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 08 | $291 | +$433 | +149% |