Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:43:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a65…d43f
sports · 666 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$93 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses439 / 224
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions3
Markets (closed)663 / 666
History coverage125d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 663 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$44
14 days−$56
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 64¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+56%)
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Nicolas Kicker 61¢ 86¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+42%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 68¢ 80¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Marco Trungelliti 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $3 −$2 -53%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $3 −$2 -51%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $5 −$2 -52%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $5 −$2 -51%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $5 −$2 -53%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $2 −$1 -34%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $2 −$1 -35%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $2 $0 -21%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2 −$1 -31%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $2 +$1 +55%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $2 −$1 -57%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $2 −$1 -52%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $2 +$1 +55%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $2 −$2 -88%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $2 +$1 +44%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $2 +$1 +62%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $2 +$1 +29%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$73
other 39% −$20
crypto 2% $0
economics 0% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 68¢ $2 19m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 61¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 70¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 70¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 76¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 64¢ $2 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 65¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 65¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 72¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 70¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 73¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 71¢ $1 1h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 67¢ $1 2h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 62¢ $2 2h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 66¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $2 3h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 72¢ $2 3h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ $2 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 33¢ $1 3h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel SELL Zsombor Piros 32¢ $1 3h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 68¢ $3 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 33¢ $1 4h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 68¢ $3 4h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 66¢ $2 4h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 35¢ $2 4h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 64¢ $2 4h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 66¢ $2 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Henrique Rocha 34¢ $1 4h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 37¢ $3 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 35¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 -1.8% -11.1% 65% 40% -14.7%
≤30d 566 -0.0% -9.6% 70% 47% -12.8%
≤90d 632 -0.3% -9.8% 69% 45% -12.3%
all 663 -0.3% -9.8% 66% 43% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 43% -11.6%
10% -18.5% 9% -20.0%
15% -26.3% 7% -27.8%
20% -33.6% 3% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.30 · official $8.30 (match) · 1986 history records