Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a6b…96e1
other · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$519 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$493 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$493
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses9 / 6
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage9d
Avg bet$589
Trades / day65.2
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 0 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$271
7 days+$493
14 days+$493
30 days+$493
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $800 +$9 +1%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $41 −$1 -2%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,508 +$47 +3%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $130 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -95%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $8 −$5 -60%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2,359 −$54 -2%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $975 +$91 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $418 +$8 +2%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $300 +$186 +62%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $823 −$9 -1%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $740 +$174 +24%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $250 +$2 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 11 $21 −$2 -12%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 11 $449 +$57 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% +$423
sports 22% +$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $99 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 97¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 97¢ $537 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 97¢ $63 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $95 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $0 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $102 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes $9 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes $5 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes $2 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes $15 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes $24 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes $25 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No $241 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No $1 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No $16 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No $7 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No $20 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+101.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +122.4% +101.2% 60% 27% -4.0%
≤30d 15 +122.4% +101.2% 60% 27% -4.0%
≤90d 15 +122.4% +101.2% 60% 27% -4.0%
all 15 +122.4% +101.2% 60% 27% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +101.2% 27% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here +81.9% 20% -13.2%
15% +64.4% 13% -21.6%
20% +48.2% 13% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 605 history records