Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:49:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
0A 0x0a71…4a6b crypto 1852 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (142 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$105 (-1%) realized −$105 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate82%1548W / 343L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day142.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$217
7 days−$209
14 days−$240
30 days−$240
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (142 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 895 -4.9% -13.9% 77% 61% -13.7%
≤30d 1891 -2.8% -12.0% 82% 51% -11.8%
≤90d 1891 -2.8% -12.0% 82% 51% -11.8%
all 1891 -2.8% -12.0% 82% 51% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover142.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 51% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 27% -20.3%
15% -28.1% 5% -28.0%
20% -35.2% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1548 / 343
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1891 / 1852
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day142.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1891 Trades
no open positions (284 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records