Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a84…c4fc
sports · 1110 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$29 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$93
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses654 / 448
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1102 / 1110
History coverage103d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 8 History 1102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$73
14 days+$86
30 days+$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29? No 98¢ 100¢ $18 $19 +$0 (+2%)
Will Pau win? No 58¢ 100¢ $8 $14 +$6 (+72%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 46¢ 100¢ $6 $12 +$6 (+115%)
Will Racing Louisville FC vs. Denver Summit FC end in a draw? No 65¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+54%)
ITF Los Angeles: Tia Messerli vs Klara Kosan Tia Messerli 96¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+4%)
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? No 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Atlético Nacional leading at halftime? No 57¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+75%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 64¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+56%)
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-31? No 77¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+30%)
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Karl Poling Karl Poling 39¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+156%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Level UP 55¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Nemiga Gaming 56¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage XLG Gaming 44¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+127%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 73¢ 49¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw? No 66¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+52%)
Will Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata end in a draw? No 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 34¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? No 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $6 +$2 +24%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $17 +$6 +39%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $7 +$6 +90%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
ITF Los Angeles: Salma Ewing vs Maria Aytoyan Jun 11 $2 +$4 +250%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
ITF Los Angeles: Abigail Haile vs Alina Shcherbinina Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $16 +$9 +55%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $6 +$4 +73%
Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $2 +$2 +85%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 +$1 +55%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Martos: Enrique Carrascosa Diaz vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Anton Arzhankin vs Stefano D'agostino Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +109%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$29
other 25% +$9
crypto 1% +$3
politics 1% −$6
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $3 37m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 56¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Level UP 55¢ $1 1h
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 64¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 34¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 36¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 44¢ $1 2h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 32¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 80¢ $1 2h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 55¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 50¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Ares 39¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 66¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 64¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 75¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 73¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $2 5h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 76¢ $17 6h
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Martyna Kubka 84¢ $2 6h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic BUY Marie Mettraux 49¢ $1 6h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese BUY Polina Iatcenko 80¢ $2 7h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese BUY Polina Iatcenko 81¢ $6 8h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta BUY Thanapet Chanta 71¢ $18 9h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY PortlandFire 20¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 +10.9% +0.4% 64% 62% -3.9%
≤30d 666 +13.8% +2.9% 61% 59% -4.8%
≤90d 680 +13.0% +2.3% 61% 58% -6.4%
all 1102 +7.2% -3.0% 59% 54% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 54% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 45% -18.2%
15% -20.8% 34% -26.1%
20% -28.5% 28% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.95 · official $92.95 (match) · 3500 history records