trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 18% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 18% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 21 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 33% | 5% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.4% | 5% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -27.1% | 0% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -34.2% | 0% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 0% | -34.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $40 | $40 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $3 | $0 | -12% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 01 | $82 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 31 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 28 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 27 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $11 | −$4 | -34% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Jun 28 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $7 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days? | Mar 17 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 10 | $13 | $0 | +0% |