Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:04:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a88…858d
crypto · 1331 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$819 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$383 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$383
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses690 / 642
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1332 / 1331
History coverage74d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day28.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1332 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$17
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$370
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 +2.5% -7.3% 54% 54% -8.6%
≤30d 436 +1.6% -8.1% 53% 53% -8.9%
≤90d 1332 +0.8% -8.8% 52% 52% -12.4%
all 1332 +0.8% -8.8% 52% 52% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 52% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 52% -20.8%
15% -25.5% 52% -28.5%
20% -32.8% 52% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records