trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 17 | +25.4% | +13.5% | 35% | 35% | +12.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +25.4% | +13.5% | 35% | 35% | +12.9% |
| all | 17 | +25.4% | +13.5% | 35% | 35% | +12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.5% | 35% | +12.9% |
| 10% | +2.6% | 35% | +2.1% |
| 15% | -7.3% | 29% | -7.8% |
| 20% | -16.4% | 29% | -16.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-47%) |
| Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-57%) |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $2 | −$4 (-70%) |
| World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken? | Yes | 7¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-78%) |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-82%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | +$10 | +982% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$6 | +124% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$27 | +262% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $56 | +$30 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Jun 11 | $51 | +$12 | +24% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |