Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:28:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a8f…2f50
sports · 1368 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$322 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$321 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,129
Realized+$321
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1329 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions35
Markets (closed)1330 / 1368
History coverage26d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day79.6
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 35 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$32
14 days+$33
30 days+$321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $140 $140 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 85°F or below on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Tan vs. Tararudee: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Tan vs. Tararudee: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Blanch (-1.5) vs Rocha (+1.5) Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Ruse Jun 12 $17 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $139 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 11? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $70 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 56% +$313
sports 36% −$4
tech 5% +$8
politics 3% +$5
culture 1% +$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY MASONIC 100¢ $5 4m
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Noir Verse 100¢ $5 22m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $70 29m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $70 29m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 32m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 32m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 100¢ $70 32m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Fire Flux Esports 100¢ $1 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Fire Flux Esports 100¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $70 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $55 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Tan vs. Tararudee: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $30 1h
Tan vs. Tararudee: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 100¢ $30 1h
Set Handicap: Blanch (-1.5) vs Rocha (+1.5) BUY Rocha 100¢ $70 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 85°F or below on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 100¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 100¢ $5 2h
Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Clutchain (+1.5) BUY Clutchain 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 3h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 4h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 4h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $35 4h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $33 4h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 396 -0.1% -9.6% 100% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1330 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 1330 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -9.2%
all 1330 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 0% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.2% 0% -25.8%
20% -32.5% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,129.00 · official $2,128.35 (match) · 3500 history records