Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0ab6…4880
sports · 1122 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$450 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$434 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$434
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses601 / 516
Est. fees paid−$234
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1117 / 1122
History coverage87d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day32.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 1117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$88
14 days−$36
30 days+$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 61¢ 64¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 67¢ 68¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 44¢ 62¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+40%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 38¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 39¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 26¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$15 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $42 −$34 -81%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$25 -83%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$19 +93%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 +$31 +76%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$23 +76%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 +$11 +54%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$14 +47%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$10 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 +$25 +83%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$11 +54%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$15 +76%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$10 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$18 +51%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $22 −$8 -36%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $41 −$20 -50%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $42 −$30 -73%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$7 +35%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $35 +$12 +33%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21 −$19 -89%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$6 -18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $41 −$20 -48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$21 +101%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $20 +$5 +26%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $20 +$7 +34%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 +$9 +86%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$51 +251%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$30 +100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$10 +48%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$15 +49%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$27 +88%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $21 −$4 -18%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $22 −$22 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 +$7 +70%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$20 +64%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$8 +40%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$11 +57%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$23 +76%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $20 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$21 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$341
crypto 7% −$135
weather 1% +$23
other 1% +$4
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $10 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 39¢ $31 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $10 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $36 39m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $20 40m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 61¢ $20 40m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 8¢ $8 43m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 9¢ $1 44m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 27¢ $10 59m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 10¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 7¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 48¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $39 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $71 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 51¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 96¢ $29 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 56¢ $41 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 4¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $54 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 49¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 54¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 3¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 10¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $20 7h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $20 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +3.3% -6.5% 56% 55% -6.0%
≤30d 435 +2.5% -7.3% 60% 57% -8.0%
≤90d 1117 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 47% -11.5%
all 1117 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 47% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 47% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 40% -19.9%
15% -28.9% 33% -27.7%
20% -35.9% 25% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.18 · official $65.18 (match) · 3263 history records