Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:00:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0A 0x0ab6…1ad5 crypto 68 markets active 13d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (233 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$85 (-22%) realized −$85 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate38%26W / 42L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day233.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (233 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 68 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 32% -32.2%
≤90d 68 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 32% -32.2%
all 68 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 32% -32.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover233.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.7% 32% -32.2%
10% ← realistic here -38.3% 25% -38.6%
15% -44.2% 22% -44.6%
20% -49.7% 19% -50.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -32% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses26 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day233.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 68 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 65,400 on June 14, 9PM ET? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +351%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 14, 8PM ET? Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $38 −$23 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$4 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $43 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$11 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$9 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +120%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +218%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 14, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 14, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $10 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 14, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 14, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 290 history records