Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T20:57:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
0A 0x0ac0…6112 sports 11 markets active 1h ago coverage 110d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$9 (-2%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +6% what you keep after slip
Net edge+6%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%6W / 4L
Drawdown48%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit64%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$53
14 days+$74
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 74% +$30
sports 26% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +19.1% +7.8% 100% 100% +7.8%
≤30d 6 +24.3% +12.5% 83% 83% +8.1%
≤90d 10 +17.0% +5.8% 60% 60% +1.5%
all 10 +17.0% +5.8% 60% 60% +1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.8% 60% +1.5%
10% -4.3% 40% -8.2%
15% -13.5% 30% -17.0%
20% -22.0% 10% -25.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 62% · top 2 75% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +12% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +17% · $-wt +12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$8 · ×1.75 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.63 per $1 lost it wins $2.63
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

110d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 11
History coverage110d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit64%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $278 +$53 +19%
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Jun 12 $32 $0 -2%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $28 +$5 +17%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $19 +$8 +44%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 11 $13 +$6 +44%
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) Jun 10 $11 +$3 +24%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 09 $17 $0 -2%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? Apr 08 $5 +$11 +226%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06? Apr 08 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 86¢ $332 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 71¢ $278 8h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5 AND Spread: Japan (-2.5) A BUY 49¢ $10 4d
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) SELL United States 92¢ $32 12d
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) BUY United States 93¢ $32 12d
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 85¢ $28 12d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $19 13d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 69¢ $13 13d
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) BUY UD Las Palmas 80¢ $11 14d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 40¢ $17 76d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 41¢ $17 76d
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 77d
Will SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 77d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06? BUY Yes 72¢ $26 110d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 21 history records