Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T04:31:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0A 0x0ac7…3fcb crypto 51 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$548 (+11%) realized +$548 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate80%41W / 10L
Drawdown50%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day58.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$391
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 39% -2.6%
≤30d 51 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 39% -2.6%
≤90d 51 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 39% -2.6%
all 51 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 39% -2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 39% -2.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 31% -11.9%
15% -24.3% 22% -20.4%
20% -31.7% 14% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$73 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.53 per $1 lost it wins $1.53
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$548
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses41 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage4d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day58.3
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 51 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 29 $130 −$129 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 28 $110 +$90 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 28 $23 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 28 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 28 $35 +$23 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 28 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $56 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $124 +$76 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 27 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 27 $192 −$158 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $94 +$106 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $149 +$51 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $147 +$53 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 27 $33 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 27 $151 +$49 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $170 +$30 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $180 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 27 $161 +$39 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 27 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $154 +$46 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $46 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $109 +$91 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 27 $98 +$46 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 27 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $115 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $142 +$58 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $108 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $56 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $77 +$8 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $80 +$120 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $181 +$19 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $81 −$78 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $17 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $183 −$183 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $48 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 26 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $184 +$16 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $69 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $157 +$40 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $66 −$63 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $143 +$57 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $83 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $110 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $191 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $29 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $21 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $0 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $56 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 300 history records