trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +168.1% | +142.6% | 100% | 100% | +76.9% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 46% | 46% | -29.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 46% | 46% | -29.4% |
| all | 24 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 46% | 46% | -29.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 46% | -29.4% |
| 10% | -20.9% | 46% | -36.1% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 46% | -42.3% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 38% | -48.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 66¢ | 64¢ | $33 | $32 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $23 | +$10 | +46% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $6 | +$17 | +291% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | May 30 | $2 | +$1 | +36% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | May 30 | $2 | +$2 | +88% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | May 30 | $2 | +$2 | +76% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | May 30 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | May 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | -37% |
| Athletics vs. San Diego Padres | May 24 | $19 | −$19 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $27 | −$27 | -99% |