Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:46:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0ad0…22b4
sports · 10 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$11 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses8 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage93d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
76ers vs. Celtics Celtics 89¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? May 30 $22 +$1 +3%
76ers vs. Celtics Apr 21 $12 −$12 -100%
Bulls vs. Thunder Apr 17 $13 +$1 +5%
Knicks vs. Hornets Mar 27 $7 +$7 +92%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Mar 26 $4 +$1 +30%
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Mar 22 $5 +$1 +30%
Nuggets vs. Lakers Mar 15 $7 +$9 +138%
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers Mar 14 $12 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% +$10
finance 23% +$1
crypto 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 78¢ $5 7d
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? BUY No 97¢ $22 27d
76ers vs. Celtics BUY Celtics 89¢ $12 54d
Bulls vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 95¢ $13 79d
Knicks vs. Hornets BUY Hornets 52¢ $7 80d
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets BUY Nuggets 77¢ $4 84d
Timberwolves vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 77¢ $5 91d
Nuggets vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 42¢ $7 91d
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers BUY Trail Blazers 90¢ $12 92d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +26.9% +14.8% 100% 100% +14.8%
≤30d 2 +14.8% +3.8% 100% 50% -3.0%
≤90d 7 +12.4% +1.7% 86% 57% -9.2%
all 9 +26.2% +14.2% 89% 67% +1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +14.2% 67% +1.9%
10% +3.3% 56% -7.9%
15% -6.7% 22% -16.8%
20% -15.8% 22% -24.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.90 · official $9.90 (match) · 19 history records