Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0x0ad5…7373

sports · 3 markets active 1h ago

1.0score

+$30 +43%

TOTAL PnL · realized +$30 · open +$0

avoidriskycopy

~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$0

Realized+$30

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)33%

Wins / losses1 / 2

Est. fees paid−$1

Open positions0

Markets (closed)3 / 3

History coverage1d

Avg bet$23

Trades / day8.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit67%

Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days+$30

7 days+$30

14 days+$30

30 days+$30

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	43¢	0¢	$20	$0	−$20 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$22	$0	−$22 (-100%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Jun 14	$28	+$72	+257%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Jun 13	$22	−$22	-100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Jun 13	$20	−$20	-98%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

sports 69% +$52

other 31% −$22

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	51m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY Yes	28¢	$28	4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	BUY Yes	22¢	$7	4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	BUY Yes	22¢	$13	4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	BUY Yes	22¢	$1	4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	BUY Yes	22¢	$0	4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	BUY Yes	22¢	$0	4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	BUY Over	43¢	$20	4h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +33%

net ROI/market (all)+7.6%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	3	+18.9%	+7.6%	33%	33%	+29.1%
≤30d	3	+18.9%	+7.6%	33%	33%	+29.1%
≤90d	3	+18.9%	+7.6%	33%	33%	+29.1%
all	3	+18.9%	+7.6%	33%	33%	+29.1%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover8.0 tr/day

realistic slip~7%

edge survives to5%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+7.6%	33%	+29.1%
10%	-2.7%	33%	+16.8%
15%	-12.1%	33%	+5.5%
20%	-20.7%	33%	-4.9%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records