Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0adc…f577
crypto · 1919 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$225 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1108 / 736
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1844 / 1919
History coverage66d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1844 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days+$369
14 days+$307
30 days+$307
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$7 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$29 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$18 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$15 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $33 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 462 +9.0% -1.3% 60% 58% +1.7%
≤30d 576 +3.2% -6.6% 56% 55% -1.7%
≤90d 1844 -2.9% -12.2% 60% 50% -9.9%
all 1844 -2.9% -12.2% 60% 50% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 50% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 39% -18.6%
15% -28.3% 32% -26.4%
20% -35.3% 25% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records