Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:21:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0A 0x0aed…19cc crypto 169 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (136 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$47 (-1%) realized −$47 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate57%97W / 72L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day135.6pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$223
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (136 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -5.5% -14.5% 57% 15% -12.7%
≤30d 169 -5.5% -14.5% 57% 15% -12.7%
≤90d 169 -5.5% -14.5% 57% 15% -12.7%
all 169 -5.5% -14.5% 57% 15% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover135.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 15% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 7% -21.1%
15% -30.2% 4% -28.7%
20% -37.0% 2% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses97 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)169 / 169
History coverage5d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day135.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 169 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $58 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $64 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $33 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $91 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $38 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $13 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $46 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $116 −$78 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $115 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $115 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $167 −$11 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $119 +$14 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $66 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $74 −$24 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $66 +$5 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $17 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 750 history records