Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:28:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0af3…913b
crypto · 3 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage118d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 76¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 1 Jun 14 $1 $0 +35%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 1 Feb 15 $1 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% $0
crypto 58% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 1 BUY Yes 74¢ $1 118d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 1 SELL Yes 20¢ $1 118d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 1 BUY Yes 18¢ $1 118d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +35.1% +22.3% 100% 100% +22.3%
≤30d 1 +35.1% +22.3% 100% 100% +22.3%
≤90d 1 +35.1% +22.3% 100% 100% +22.3%
all 2 +23.1% +11.3% 100% 100% +12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.3% 100% +12.3%
10% +0.7% 50% +1.6%
15% -9.0% 0% -8.2%
20% -18.0% 0% -17.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.97 · official $1.97 (match) · 6 history records