trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 73% | 60% | -12.5% |
| ≤30d | 33 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 70% | 58% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 40 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 65% | 55% | -14.3% |
| all | 40 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 65% | 55% | -14.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 55% | -14.3% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 32% | -22.5% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 20% | -30.0% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 12% | -36.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $172 | +$7 | +4% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $16 | +$5 | +32% |
| Simon Banza: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Theo Bongonda: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $50 | +$2 | +3% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Jun 17 | $182 | −$182 | -100% |
| Michael Olise: 2+ shots | Jun 16 | $60 | +$10 | +17% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $40 | +$10 | +26% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $25 | +$28 | +109% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$6 | +19% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$73 | +72% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$37 | -37% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$4 | -79% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $144 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $49 | +$26 | +53% |
| Yan Diomandé: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $50 | +$6 | +11% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Nick Woltemade: 2+ shots | Jun 14 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| Nathaniel Brown: 2+ shots | Jun 14 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots | Jun 14 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $60 | +$10 | +16% |
| Casemiro: 2+ shots | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$8 | +80% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $24 | +$3 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $169 | +$63 | +38% |
| Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots | Jun 13 | $51 | −$29 | -57% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $170 | +$11 | +6% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $76 | +$10 | +13% |
| Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots | Jun 12 | $20 | +$5 | +25% |
| Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ shots | Jun 12 | $50 | +$17 | +33% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $292 | −$5 | -2% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 09 | $15 | −$10 | -65% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 20 | Apr 14 | $45 | +$9 | +21% |
| Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Apr 11 | $110 | −$106 | -97% |
| Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial ele | Mar 27 | $16 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election | Mar 27 | $6 | +$2 | +31% |
| Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | Mar 27 | $59 | +$26 | +44% |
| Will Carlos Zavaleta win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | Mar 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |