Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0afb…c004
crypto · 873 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$90 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses618 / 261
Open positions1
Markets (closed)879 / 873
History coverage12d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day216.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 879 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$55
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 49¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 409 -0.7% -10.2% 59% 15% -10.5%
≤30d 879 -2.1% -11.4% 70% 8% -10.2%
≤90d 879 -2.1% -11.4% 70% 8% -10.2%
all 879 -2.1% -11.4% 70% 8% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover216.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 8% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 5% -18.8%
15% -27.6% 4% -26.6%
20% -34.7% 4% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.48 · official $2.48 (match) · 3500 history records