Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0afb…253b
crypto · 45 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses20 / 23
Open positions2
Markets (closed)43 / 45
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day136.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 63¢ 90¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -11.5% -19.9% 47% 44% -22.6%
≤30d 43 -11.5% -19.9% 47% 44% -22.6%
≤90d 43 -11.5% -19.9% 47% 44% -22.6%
all 43 -11.5% -19.9% 47% 44% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 44% -22.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 40% -30.0%
15% -34.6% 35% -36.8%
20% -41.0% 23% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.82 · official $2.06 (match) · 145 history records