trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -69.9% | -72.8% | 0% | 0% | -74.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -69.9% | -72.8% | 0% | 0% | -74.9% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -69.9% | -72.8% | 0% | 0% | -74.9% |
| all | 3 | -69.9% | -72.8% | 0% | 0% | -74.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -72.8% | 0% | -74.9% |
| 10% | -75.4% | 0% | -77.3% |
| 15% | -77.8% | 0% | -79.5% |
| 20% | -80.0% | 0% | -81.5% |