Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:29:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0b0c…ff07 other 9 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$781per market
Trades / day14.4pace
Kalshi-fit22%portable
Net worth$30now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 10d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 95% $0
world 5% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 7 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 7 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 7 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
8.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$30
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage10d
Avg bet$781
Trades / day14.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit22%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 7 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $325 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $120 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $66 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $24 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $25 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $21 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $6 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $210 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $210 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $201 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $201 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $251 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $251 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $251 2h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $251 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.24 · official $30.06 (match) · 148 history records