Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:17:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0b1b…39dc crypto 401 markets active 0h ago coverage 44d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$17 (-3%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate23%92W / 308L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day10.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$21
14 days−$50
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -14.3% -22.4% 18% 18% -18.1%
≤30d 379 -11.1% -19.5% 24% 23% -14.8%
≤90d 400 -14.2% -22.3% 23% 23% -16.0%
all 400 -14.2% -22.3% 23% 23% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 23% -16.0%
10% -29.8% 23% -24.0%
15% -36.6% 22% -31.4%
20% -42.8% 22% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$1 · ×3.01 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses92 / 308
Open positions0
Markets (closed)400 / 401
History coverage44d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 400 Trades
no open positions (270 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +266%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +152%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$5 +390%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +331%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 584 history records