Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b32…9177
crypto · 868 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses745 / 123
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)868 / 868
History coverage21d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day59.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 868 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$15
14 days+$18
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 95¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 83¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 96¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 87¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 65¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 81¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 86¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 84¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 96¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 83¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 97¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 68¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 83¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 71¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 86¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 87¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 97¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$2
sports 0% −$5
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 285 +2.0% -7.7% 87% 59% -6.4%
≤30d 868 -0.6% -10.0% 86% 48% -9.8%
≤90d 868 -0.6% -10.0% 86% 48% -9.8%
all 868 -0.6% -10.0% 86% 48% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 48% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 16% -18.4%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1964 history records