Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:13:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b56…a082
sports · 88 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$98 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Chart Positions 3 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$28
14 days−$5
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Anastasia Kulikova Matilde Jorge 63¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+59%)
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Polina Isakova Matilde Jorge 95¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo Ekaterina Maklakova 51¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+96%)
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 52¢ 42¢ $9 $8 −$2 (-18%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 57¢ 68¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+18%)
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Alexandra Eala 67¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+49%)
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Marin Cilic 57¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+75%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Daria Snigur 45¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+122%)
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente Eduardo Ribeiro 75¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+33%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 40¢ 34¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-14%)
Makarska: Tamara Zidansek vs Polona Hercog Tamara Zidansek 53¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw? Yes 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw? Yes 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 44¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Luca Nardi 62¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Yosuke Watanuki Yosuke Watanuki 27¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians Washington Nationals 38¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 22¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev Quentin Halys $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 45¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry Ann Li 67¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Henry Searle 62¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 44¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Sara Milanese vs Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Anastasia Kulikova Jun 10 $6 +$4 +58%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Polina Isakova Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo Jun 10 $5 +$5 +95%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente Jun 08 $4 +$1 +33%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 07 $3 +$2 +74%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 07 $2 +$3 +120%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Matilde Jorge Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Jun 04 $3 +$2 +49%
ITF Cuiaba: Gabriel Schenekenberg vs Tomas Jordi Leston Jun 02 $2 $0 -6%
Makarska: Tamara Zidansek vs Polona Hercog Jun 02 $3 $0 -6%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 01 $1 $0 -6%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $7 −$7 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 30 $21 +$9 +42%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 29 $5 −$4 -73%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev May 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic May 29 $4 −$4 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 29 $27 +$37 +141%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi May 29 $9 −$9 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot May 28 $119 −$9 -8%
Kosice: Federico Bondioli vs Kilian Feldbausch May 28 $10 +$5 +44%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens May 28 $18 +$42 +233%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kessler May 28 $26 +$9 +36%
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry May 28 $10 −$10 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro May 28 $15 +$15 +100%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Kostyuk/Ruse vs Mertens/Zhang May 28 $16 −$1 -6%
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell May 28 $13 −$13 -98%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 28 $20 −$19 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 28 $7 +$9 +140%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox May 28 $14 +$10 +74%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals May 28 $19 +$13 +68%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 27 $18 −$18 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea May 27 $11 +$4 +32%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 27 $10 +$6 +65%
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 26 $10 $0 -4%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 26 $14 −$14 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets May 26 $27 −$26 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Blockx May 26 $46 −$2 -3%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $15 −$15 -98%
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia May 26 $10 −$10 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants May 26 $15 −$15 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 26 $26 −$25 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet May 26 $3 +$5 +172%
Little Rock: Philip Sekulic vs Mitchell Krueger May 26 $29 −$1 -3%
Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Latinovic May 26 $7 +$1 +13%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 26 $13 +$3 +23%
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Yosuke Watanuki May 26 $2 −$2 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 26 $6 +$6 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$124
other 6% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 51¢ $4 1h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 53¢ $5 1h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 81¢ $8 15h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 81¢ $5 15h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 81¢ $8 15h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 81¢ $8 15h
ITF Hurghada: Sara Milanese vs Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz BUY Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz 75¢ $8 28h
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Anastasia Kulikova BUY Matilde Jorge 63¢ $6 32h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 40¢ $4 34h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Julia Grabher 49¢ $5 36h
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Polina Isakova BUY Matilde Jorge 95¢ $10 46h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 57¢ $6 2d
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo BUY Ekaterina Maklakova 51¢ $5 2d
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 75¢ $4 3d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Marin Cilic 57¢ $3 4d
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa BUY Daria Snigur 45¢ $2 4d
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Matilde Jorge BUY Matilde Jorge 37¢ $2 5d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew BUY Alexandra Eala 67¢ $3 7d
ITF Cuiaba: Gabriel Schenekenberg vs Tomas Jordi Leston SELL Gabriel Schenekenberg 52¢ $2 9d
ITF Cuiaba: Gabriel Schenekenberg vs Tomas Jordi Leston BUY Gabriel Schenekenberg 54¢ $2 9d
Makarska: Tamara Zidansek vs Polona Hercog BUY Tamara Zidansek 53¢ $3 9d
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) SELL Cincinnati Reds 38¢ $1 10d
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 39¢ $1 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Frances Tiafoe 44¢ $7 10d
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 10¢ $1 13d
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 36¢ $5 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev BUY Quentin Halys $1 13d
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic BUY Peyton Stearns 24¢ $4 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul BUY Casper Ruud 70¢ $11 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul BUY Casper Ruud 70¢ $11 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -0.9% -10.3% 60% 50% -44.3%
≤30d 78 -2.1% -11.4% 44% 41% -19.8%
≤90d 83 +4.4% -5.6% 43% 41% -17.7%
all 85 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 40% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 40% -18.5%
10% -16.6% 36% -26.3%
15% -24.7% 31% -33.5%
20% -32.0% 25% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.35 · official $70.35 (match) · 302 history records