Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:46:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b57…5fbc
crypto · 1248 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$982 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$985 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$985
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses718 / 529
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1247 / 1248
History coverage23d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day115.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$88
14 days−$798
30 days−$985
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 0¢ 42¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 12? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +135%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -58%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 13 $100 −$6 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -76%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $23 −$6 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -86%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 13 $193 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 12 $257 −$11 -4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 12? Jun 12 $12 −$5 -45%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $49 −$6 -12%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $81 +$7 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $67 +$3 +5%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -10%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -7%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? Jun 11 $43 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$941
world 7% −$45
sports 2% +$15
politics 1% −$3
other 1% +$3
tech 0% −$6
finance 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? SELL No 39¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 -6.1% -15.1% 39% 32% -14.0%
≤30d 1247 -10.4% -19.0% 58% 44% -17.7%
≤90d 1247 -10.4% -19.0% 58% 44% -17.7%
all 1247 -10.4% -19.0% 58% 44% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 44% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 39% -25.6%
15% -33.8% 34% -32.8%
20% -40.3% 28% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.58 · official $2.58 (match) · 3500 history records