trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 33% | 0% | -8.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 26 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $51 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $31 | +$1 | +4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $18 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 01 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 30 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 29 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 28 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 28 | $49 | +$1 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 06 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 05 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 05 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 04 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? | Apr 03 | $16 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in March? | Mar 27 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Playboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200? | Mar 26 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 22 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall | Mar 19 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Wake Forest vs. Duke | Mar 03 | $4 | −$2 | -50% |