trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -32.8% | -39.2% | 22% | 11% | -22.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -32.8% | -39.2% | 22% | 11% | -22.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +68.2% | +52.2% | 24% | 18% | -12.6% |
| all | 21 | +36.1% | +23.2% | 19% | 14% | -23.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +23.2% | 14% | -23.8% |
| 10% | +11.4% | 14% | -31.1% |
| 15% | +0.6% | 14% | -37.8% |
| 20% | -9.2% | 14% | -43.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $36 | +$6 (+18%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 40¢ | 40¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 42¢ | 41¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Scotland to score first vs. Brazil? | Yes | 26¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Ecuador to score first vs. Germany? | Yes | 39¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20 | Jun 20 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$6 | -32% |
| Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $30 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $3 | +$247 | +8233% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 20 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 20 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 20 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Apr 20 | $19 | +$10 | +54% |
| Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31? | Mar 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | Jan 09 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |