trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +76.4% | +59.6% | 64% | 64% | +18.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +54.0% | +39.3% | 57% | 57% | -1.5% |
| ≤90d | 102 | -11.8% | -20.2% | 55% | 38% | -16.1% |
| all | 140 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 59% | 45% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.1% | 45% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -20.5% | 35% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.2% | 26% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 20% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $11 | +$25 | +223% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$10 | +249% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $27 | −$26 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$9 | +291% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +105% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +165% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $13 | +$15 | +114% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $16 | +$19 | +115% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $12 | +$4 | +30% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $27 | −$27 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 08 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $35 | +$2 | +5% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 04 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $20 | +$11 | +55% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 30 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 30 | $2 | +$2 | +80% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $2 | $0 | +18% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $5 | +$1 | +21% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 27 | $6 | +$2 | +34% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $13 | +$22 | +166% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $27 | +$4 | +14% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Apr 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 19 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 19 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 16 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $40 | +$9 | +23% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 13 | $10 | +$13 | +134% |