Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:16:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b89…a4cd
sports · 493 markets active 2h ago
5.5score
+$51,222 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54,236 · open +$1,299
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2,999
Realized+$54,236
Unrealized+$1,299
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses306 / 185
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$3,966
Open positions2
Markets (closed)491 / 493
History coverage58d
Avg bet$1,000
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 491 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,770
7 days+$12,156
14 days+$9,566
30 days+$44,930
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 100¢ $1,500 $2,998 +$1,498 (+100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 36¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 47¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 18¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 72¢ $2,100 $0 −$2,100 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 39¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 39¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 61¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 23¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 4 Winner KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 60¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 47¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner T1 Academy 20¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Shopify Rebellion 22¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 20¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 25¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner Winthrop University 40¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 45¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 3 Winner paiN Gaming Academy 29¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 81¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 57¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner LNG Esports 50¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Over 50¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 79¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner Gen.G Global Academy 35¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,123 −$662 -59%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,511 +$458 +30%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $102 +$107 +105%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2,017 +$761 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2,001 +$20 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $198 −$198 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3,002 +$54 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $7,531 +$1,223 +16%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $407 −$397 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,013 +$572 +28%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$80 +797%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $21,037 +$1,294 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $204 +$557 +272%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1,206 −$1,198 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $303 +$165 +54%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,005 +$466 +46%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $3,014 +$527 +18%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $10,097 +$627 +6%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $3,014 +$518 +17%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $31 −$30 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $99 −$99 -100%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $101 −$5 -5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $4,593 +$4,847 +106%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $202 −$1 -1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,008 +$363 +36%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,310 −$408 -31%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,524 +$2,614 +104%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,020 +$1,154 +113%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $256 −$185 -72%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $504 +$3 +1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $10,076 +$3,346 +33%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,009 +$420 +42%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $204 +$208 +102%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $199 +$85 +43%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $101 +$29 +29%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $5,036 +$1,555 +31%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,515 +$756 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $82 −$80 -98%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 05 $448 +$911 +203%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $101 +$84 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$55,077
other 0% +$458
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $102 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $102 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $500 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $1,015 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 50¢ $831 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $505 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $507 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 32¢ $102 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 62¢ $447 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $807 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $205 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $9 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 77¢ $504 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $1,007 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 48¢ $102 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $2,017 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 22¢ $198 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 22¢ $0 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 99¢ $2,001 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Over 50¢ $500 12h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 60¢ $101 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 98¢ $3,002 14h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 17¢ $102 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 14¢ $147 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 14¢ $154 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 14¢ $4 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $12 25h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $26 25h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $15 25h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $105 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +16.5% +5.4% 56% 44% +6.0%
≤30d 211 +27.8% +15.7% 62% 55% +0.3%
≤90d 491 +19.1% +7.8% 62% 57% +0.8%
all 491 +19.1% +7.8% 62% 57% +0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.8% 57% +0.8%
10% -2.5% 49% -8.9%
15% ← realistic here -11.9% 35% -17.7%
20% -20.6% 24% -25.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,998.78 · official $2,998.78 (match) · 2083 history records