Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b90…672e
other · 380 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$3,158 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,181 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,150
Realized−$4,181
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses199 / 170
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$379
Open positions11
Markets (closed)369 / 380
History coverage106d
Avg bet$194
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 11 History 369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$696
7 days−$1,775
14 days−$3,491
30 days−$942
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 63¢ 62¢ $274 $272 −$2 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $205 $203 −$1 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 63¢ 62¢ $145 $144 −$1 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $95 $94 −$1 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 35¢ 32¢ $99 $92 −$7 (-7%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $90 $88 −$2 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 56¢ 56¢ $75 $76 +$1 (+1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5 Over 46¢ 45¢ $70 $68 −$2 (-2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $55 $54 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 27¢ 26¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $707 −$707 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $331 +$111 +33%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $300 +$61 +20%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $226 +$97 +43%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $118 +$185 +157%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $292 +$123 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 Jun 09 $260 −$260 -100%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $269 −$269 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $321 −$321 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5 Jun 09 $334 −$334 -100%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $256 −$256 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $540 +$116 +21%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $568 −$568 -100%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $376 +$146 +39%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $539 +$264 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +45%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $607 +$66 +11%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $622 +$187 +30%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $288 +$119 +41%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $265 +$77 +29%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $298 +$183 +61%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $199 +$66 +33%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $36 −$36 -100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5 Jun 06 $59 −$59 -100%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $179 −$179 -100%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 Jun 06 $202 −$202 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 06 $401 −$401 -100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $97 +$60 +62%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5 Jun 06 $157 +$146 +93%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 06 $203 +$126 +62%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $76 +$29 +38%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $132 +$44 +33%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $443 −$443 -100%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $130 +$112 +86%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5 Jun 04 $898 −$898 -100%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 Jun 04 $179 −$179 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 04 $254 −$254 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 04 $405 −$405 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score First Jun 04 $43 −$43 -100%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 Jun 04 $203 +$105 +52%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 04 $61 +$47 +76%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 04 $122 +$107 +88%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $537 −$439 -82%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5 May 31 $672 +$378 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$1,696
sports 46% −$2,588
crypto 1% +$116
world 0% +$24
politics 0% −$51
finance 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 35¢ $102 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 42¢ $97 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5 BUY Over 46¢ $71 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 27¢ $31 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $56 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 56¢ $76 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $148 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $30 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 74¢ $207 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 63¢ $279 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $92 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $58 17h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $707 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $331 36h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $361 41h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $300 43h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $98 43h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 0¢ $0 45h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $226 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $118 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $414 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $292 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 53¢ $321 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5 BUY Under 51¢ $334 5d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 100¢ $656 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 BUY Under 68¢ $260 5d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? BUY No 65¢ $269 6d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 81¢ $540 6d
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 34¢ $256 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -33.0% -39.4% 44% 44% -38.2%
≤30d 181 -3.3% -12.5% 56% 56% -11.4%
≤90d 358 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 53% -14.3%
all 369 -5.7% -14.6% 54% 53% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 53% -14.7%
10% -22.8% 51% -22.9%
15% -30.3% 47% -30.3%
20% -37.1% 37% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,149.66 · official $1,149.67 (match) · 770 history records