Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T10:29:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0b99…8bdd sports 180 markets active 0h ago coverage 43d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 42d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$71,742 (+24%) realized +$71,742 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate79%142W / 38L
Whale WR84%big bets
Drawdown6%max
Avg bet$1,660per market
Trades / day80.3pace
Fees−$5,089est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 43d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$19,646
other 0% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (80 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +6.0% -4.1% 64% 25% -3.8%
≤30d 69 +5.0% -5.0% 74% 19% -5.2%
≤90d 180 +8.2% -2.1% 79% 23% -3.6%
all 180 +8.2% -2.1% 79% 23% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 23% -3.6%
10% -11.4% 9% -12.8%
15% ← realistic here -20.0% 4% -21.2%
20% -27.8% 3% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 84% (≥$2,476) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +11% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$161 vs −$87 · ×1.85 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×6.92 per $1 lost it wins $6.92
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$71,742
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses142 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$5,089
Open positions0
Markets (closed)180 / 180
History coverage43d ⚠
Avg bet$1,660
Trades / day80.3
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 180 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Jun 29 $919 +$80 +9%
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $30 −$4 -14%
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $107 +$11 +10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? Jun 28 $91 −$5 -6%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur Jun 28 $697 +$6 +1%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $508 +$80 +16%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $645 +$25 +4%
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winner Jun 27 $62 −$61 -98%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $201 +$44 +22%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Clo Jun 27 $847 +$55 +6%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $246 +$40 +16%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $1,075 +$151 +14%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner Jun 26 $375 −$73 -19%
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Subtop De France - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $125 +$218 +174%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner Jun 25 $631 +$47 +8%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 25 $806 +$154 +19%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europ Jun 24 $222 −$2 -1%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Jun 24 $217 −$12 -6%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Q Jun 23 $799 −$12 -2%
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner Jun 23 $348 +$32 +9%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner Jun 23 $344 +$25 +7%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $368 −$36 -10%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $296 +$1 +0%
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $351 +$44 +12%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $276 +$7 +3%
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $647 −$13 -2%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $326 +$30 +9%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $616 −$67 -11%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $216 +$2 +1%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $378 +$14 +4%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia C Jun 22 $193 +$5 +2%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $702 +$60 +9%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $351 +$2 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $4,951 +$40 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,002 +$159 +8%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4,520 +$300 +7%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $8,565 +$385 +4%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4,656 +$199 +4%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,027 +$45 +2%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $6,173 +$1,528 +25%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,958 +$36 +1%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $358 −$250 -70%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,887 −$169 -6%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $4,309 −$686 -16%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $552 +$29 +5%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3,563 +$53 +2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $396 +$325 +82%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $136 +$5 +4%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $2,039 +$78 +4%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3,721 +$79 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B SELL Habibis 100¢ $999 5m
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B BUY Habibis 95¢ $477 6m
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B BUY Habibis 88¢ $442 7m
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner SELL summer bear 36¢ $25 1h
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner BUY summer bear 39¢ $14 1h
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner BUY summer bear 43¢ $15 1h
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner SELL summer bear 59¢ $64 3h
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner SELL summer bear 59¢ $53 3h
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner BUY summer bear 53¢ $107 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? SELL Yes 43¢ $77 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? SELL Yes 43¢ $9 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 45¢ $91 14h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur SELL Nigma Galaxy 50¢ $5 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur SELL Nigma Galaxy 50¢ $183 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur SELL Nigma Galaxy 52¢ $64 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur BUY Nigma Galaxy 41¢ $208 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur SELL Yellow Submarine 38¢ $190 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur SELL Yellow Submarine 38¢ $0 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur BUY Yellow Submarine 36¢ $180 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur SELL Nigma Galaxy 59¢ $261 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eur BUY Nigma Galaxy 68¢ $309 16h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 72¢ $303 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 65¢ $276 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 50¢ $250 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 35¢ $80 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 35¢ $2 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 35¢ $70 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 35¢ $6 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 35¢ $18 17h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 7¢ $34 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records