Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b9c…7e44
sports · 90 markets active 30d ago
0.0score
+$2,180,364 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,177,705 · open +$2,659
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Chart Positions 1 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$246,045
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 98¢ $58,986 $61,645 +$2,659 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 20 $34,077 −$25,575 -75%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 20 $14,048 +$271,620 +1934%
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 202 Apr 21 $886 +$40,703 +4595%
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? Apr 20 $71 +$1,715 +2399%
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 20 Apr 20 $368 +$11,467 +3116%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division? Apr 16 $29 +$19,983 +68974%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? Apr 14 $355 +$39 +11%
Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season? Apr 13 $6 −$5 -84%
Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs? Apr 13 $65 +$6 +8%
Will Betis place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season? Apr 11 $961 +$1 +0%
Will Real Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season? Apr 10 $10 −$6 -64%
Will the Calgary Flames make the NHL Playoffs? Apr 10 $765 +$1 +0%
Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference? Apr 10 $3,496 +$10 +0%
Will the New Jersey Devils make the NHL Playoffs? Apr 10 $5,606 +$7 +0%
Will the Calgary Flames win the Western Conference? Apr 10 $6,650 +$9 +0%
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division? Apr 10 $5,100 +$15,772 +309%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the Apr 10 $123 +$1,377 +1123%
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 07 $104 +$37,307 +35739%
Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the best record in the NBA? Apr 07 $5,572 +$10 +0%
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 05 $622 +$254 +41%
Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs? Apr 05 $1,048 +$3 +0%
Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference? Apr 05 $6,231 +$9 +0%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Central Division? Apr 05 $6,819 −$454 -7%
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 05 $309,374 +$349 +0%
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 03 $404 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the Western Conference? Apr 03 $1,060 +$2 +0%
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference? Apr 03 $1,517 +$2 +0%
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 03 $2,008 +$2 +0%
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the NHL Playoffs? Apr 03 $3,415 +$5 +0%
Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the NHL Playoffs? Apr 03 $8,379 +$12 +0%
Will the Minnesota Wild make the NHL Playoffs? Apr 03 $100 +$660 +661%
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division? Apr 01 $1,039 +$1 +0%
Will the New York Knicks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Ea Apr 01 $398 $0 +0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division? Apr 01 $415 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division? Apr 01 $3,276 +$3,604 +110%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? Apr 01 $7,453 +$7 +0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NB Apr 01 $6,068 +$1,772 +29%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? Apr 01 $2,408 +$4 +0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? Apr 01 $8,152 +$12 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs? Apr 01 $2,341 +$2 +0%
Spread: Ducks (-1.5) Mar 31 $215 $0 +0%
Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs? Mar 31 $6,246 +$4,424 +71%
Will the Boston Celtics finish with the best record in the NBA? Mar 30 $50 +$1,308 +2619%
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 Mar 30 $122,222 −$122,222 -100%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? Mar 30 $40 +$283 +712%
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs? Mar 30 $128 +$5,559 +4345%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el Mar 30 $805,000 $0 +0%
Spread: Heat (-8.5) Mar 30 $100,000 +$23,009 +23%
Spread: Heat (-9.5) Mar 30 $112,766 +$100,000 +89%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5) Mar 30 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 54% +$2,250,000
sports 44% −$146,883
other 2% +$77,240
crypto 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL No 47¢ $22 29d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $0 38d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $0 38d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $1 38d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $0 38d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $1 38d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $3 38d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $2 39d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $17 39d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $0 40d
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? SELL Yes $10 40d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $10 47d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $11 47d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $2 47d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $3 47d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $5 48d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $300 48d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $11 48d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $1 48d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $479 48d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 57¢ $1,599 49d
Will Real Sociedad finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standing SELL No 100¢ $367 49d
Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings? SELL No 100¢ $83 49d
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,409 50d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 59¢ $14 50d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 59¢ $2 50d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 59¢ $883 50d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 59¢ $296 50d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 59¢ $101 50d
Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings? SELL No 100¢ $319 51d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+199.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +929.3% +831.2% 50% 50% +453.1%
≤90d 90 +230.5% +199.1% 76% 32% +26.4%
all 90 +230.5% +199.1% 76% 32% +26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +199.1% 32% +26.4%
10% +170.4% 31% +14.3%
15% ← realistic here +144.3% 29% +3.2%
20% +120.4% 28% -6.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61,645.15 · official $61,645.15 (match) · 3500 history records