Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0ba8…b5e2
sports · 1638 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$16 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1626 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1629 / 1638
History coverage63d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 6 History 1629 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will "Tony H.: Man of the People" be the top global Netflix show this week? No 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) EDward Gaming 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bath win the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final? No 100¢ 85¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: FF Jaro 0 - 0 HJK Helsinki? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Tampereen Ilves 3 - 0 Turun Palloseura? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: RUSTEC (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Lene vs. Garcia: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Jecan/Pavel vs. Grevelius/Heinonen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: BMB (-1.5) vs Gaming By Legends (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Thanos vs. Mcdonald: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Gokpinar vs. Mckennon: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will "Comparison" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcas Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Antonee Robinson: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Diego Gómez: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Chris Richards: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Malik Tillman: 1+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Malik Tillman: 2+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will Future perform "Game Time" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Francisco Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Cam Smith: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Dangerous" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wo Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will Lucas Glover finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Liam Millar: 1+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Wen vs. Shinozuka: Total Games O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Valencia (-12.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 1 - 2 Drogheda United FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Owen Goodman: 4+ saves Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Waterford FC 3 - 1 Sligo Rovers FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% +$8
other 46% +$6
world 2% $0
politics 1% +$1
finance 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
weather 0% $0
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) BUY EDward Gaming 100¢ $5 13m
Will Bath win the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final? BUY No 100¢ $5 20m
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during BUY Yes 99¢ $5 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: FF Jaro 0 - 0 HJK Helsinki? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Tampereen Ilves 3 - 0 Turun Palloseura? BUY No 100¢ $4 3h
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? BUY Even 99¢ $5 4h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 4h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: RUSTEC (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) BUY HEROIC Academy 100¢ $5 4h
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 BUY No 97¢ $5 5h
Lene vs. Garcia: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 5h
Jecan/Pavel vs. Grevelius/Heinonen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 5h
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 6h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Thanos vs. Mcdonald: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 7h
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Map Handicap: BMB (-1.5) vs Gaming By Legends (+1.5) BUY BASEMENT BOYS 100¢ $5 7h
Gokpinar vs. Mckennon: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 8h
Antonee Robinson: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Diego Gómez: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Chris Richards: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Will "Comparison" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcas BUY Yes 99¢ $5 11h
Malik Tillman: 1+ assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 11h
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Malik Tillman: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 11h
Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 12h
Will Future perform "Game Time" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 323 +0.1% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 982 +0.1% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1629 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 1629 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.20 · official $29.61 (match) · 3500 history records