Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bab…6832
sports · 865 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$2,038 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,110 · open +$72
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$463
Realized−$2,110
Unrealized+$72
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses400 / 464
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$341
Open positions1
Markets (closed)864 / 865
History coverage210d
Avg bet$207
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 864 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$511
7 days−$25,172
14 days−$26,289
30 days−$26,331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 74¢ $390 $463 +$72 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-11-29? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-05? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs No Need Orga (BO1) No Need Orga 36¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Verdant 41¢ 0¢ $266 $0 −$266 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season FURIA Esports 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Botswana win on 2025-12-27? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $237 $0 −$237 (-100%)
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-20? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 47¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Season Lundqvist Lightside 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage BNK FEARX 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $334 $0 −$334 (-100%)
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-13? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will England win? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Alcaraz 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $232 +$163 +70%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $134 +$99 +74%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $309 −$304 -98%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $134 +$176 +132%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $598 −$592 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $612 −$14 -2%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $307 −$300 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $101 +$20 +20%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $421 −$415 -99%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $404 +$204 +50%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $103 −$100 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $255 +$514 +202%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $329 −$91 -28%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $187 −$183 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $384 +$64 +17%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $204 +$318 +156%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$18 +18%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $304 −$300 -99%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$141 +138%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$83 +41%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $271 +$91 +34%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $128 −$127 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $606 +$180 +30%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $483 −$473 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $269 +$740 +275%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $134 +$433 +324%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $133 −$130 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $134 −$131 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $172 −$169 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $59 +$12 +21%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$59 +58%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $198 −$197 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $511 +$79 +16%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $142 +$66 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $400 −$400 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $911 −$911 -100%
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27? Jun 11 $900 −$900 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $454 −$454 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $366 −$366 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $300 −$300 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28? Jun 11 $553 −$553 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23? Jun 11 $250 −$250 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $164 −$164 -100%
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-26? Jun 11 $420 −$420 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $643 −$643 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 11 $798 −$712 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $417 −$417 -100%
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26? Jun 11 $800 −$800 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% −$9,368
other 33% +$2,043
crypto 26% +$5,298
world 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $395 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $395 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 58¢ $232 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $233 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $134 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 41¢ $309 5h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $310 5h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 42¢ $134 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 65¢ $598 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 82¢ $598 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $612 8h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 25¢ $307 8h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo SELL UCAM Esports Club 99¢ $120 8h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 55¢ $96 8h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 52¢ $325 8h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 99¢ $1 8h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY UCAM Esports Club 82¢ $101 8h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 99¢ $211 8h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 99¢ $198 8h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 99¢ $198 8h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 NORD 16¢ $103 8h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 65¢ $202 9h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL UCAM Esports Club 99¢ $769 9h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner SELL Galions 50¢ $238 9h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 21¢ $23 9h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 18¢ $64 9h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 29¢ $99 9h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 65¢ $202 9h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 32¢ $255 9h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 100¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -33.2% -39.6% 35% 35% -65.2%
≤30d 151 -25.0% -32.1% 39% 39% -58.9%
≤90d 151 -25.0% -32.1% 39% 39% -58.9%
all 864 -3.3% -12.5% 46% 46% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 46% -10.6%
10% -20.9% 44% -19.1%
15% -28.5% 40% -27.0%
20% -35.5% 36% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $462.93 · official $462.93 (match) · 1845 history records