Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bb0…6bc8
crypto · 628 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses411 / 217
Open positions0
Markets (closed)628 / 628
History coverage54d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day31.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 628 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$19
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 17¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 34¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 31¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 79¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 40¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 37¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 -4.6% -13.7% 61% 43% -13.8%
≤30d 335 -5.8% -14.7% 61% 42% -14.0%
≤90d 628 -5.5% -14.5% 65% 32% -12.1%
all 628 -5.5% -14.5% 65% 32% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 32% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 16% -20.5%
15% -30.2% 8% -28.2%
20% -37.0% 4% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1899 history records