Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bba…bebd
crypto · 649 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$219 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$214 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$214
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses325 / 328
Open positions2
Markets (closed)653 / 649
History coverage2d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day1534.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 653 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$214
7 days−$214
14 days−$214
30 days−$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $9 $26 +$16 (+177%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 46¢ 74¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 26¢ $9 $5 −$4 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$11 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$14 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$6 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$16 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$7 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$15 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$18 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$219
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 653 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 42% -12.1%
≤30d 653 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 42% -12.1%
≤90d 653 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 42% -12.1%
all 653 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 42% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1534.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 42% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 32% -20.5%
15% -28.5% 23% -28.2%
20% -35.5% 14% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.97 · official $44.54 · 3500 history records